One in seven school leaders may have been denied the chance to vote in the NAHT’s strike ballot because of disruption caused by postal strikes, internal union data seen by Schools Week suggests.
The union fell short of the mandatory 50 per cent turnout threshold in its first national ballot over pay in its 125-year history.
The union announced on Monday that it is considering re-balloting its 25,500 eligible members.
The NASUWT teaching union is also mulling another vote after failing to meet the threshold for legal action.
Only the National Education Union (NEU) won its ballot for strike action, with six days of teacher walkouts planned in England throughout February and March. It also announced the result on Monday.
Formal strike ballots must be conducted by post, but the ballots coincided with several walkouts by Royal Mail staff. The NAHT described it as an “unprecedented” disruption.
Rob Kelsall, the union’s national secretary, told Schools Week he was “confident that had that disruption not happened, that threshold would have been met”.
Election firm asked to investigate disruption
Figures seen by Schools Week show 5,122 replacement ballots were issued during the voting period, 4,063 of which were because of no-shows. Another 1,059 were because of changes to addresses.
Ninety-six per cent of requests came from England. In Wales, where there was less disruption, the union met the thresholds needed for action short of a strike.
The union surveyed about 1,200 members who were issued replacements, and 74 per cent reported they had not arrived as of last week. The ballot closed last Wednesday.
If this was extrapolated to all those receiving replacements ballots, it would mean as many as 3,700 eligible members, about 15 per cent, were not able to vote. The NAHT missed its turnout threshold by 8 per cent.
Kelsall said the situation was “alarming”. The union has asked Civica, which ran the election on its behalf, to analyse the number of duplicate papers returned.
Rachel Linkletter, a deputy head, tweeted that she received her ballot paper a day after the vote closed. Sue Gould, another NAHT member, said she had still not received hers as of Tuesday this week.
NASUWT members have also reported issues, with some members saying they planned to switch their membership to the NEU so they could take part in its strikes.
NASUWT turnout just 34% in England state schools
Schools Week also understands turnout in NASUWT’s ballot was just 34 per cent in state schools in England.
This is much lower than the 42 per cent average figure reported across England and Wales and across schools and sixth-form colleges. The union declined to comment.
The NEU said it had registered 10,000 new members since its announcement on Monday, and that the number was climbing.
The education-legal support organisation Edapt said its own membership was up seven per cent since the start of term – up from two per cent in the same time last year.
Kelsall acknowledged the NAHT was “taking quite a lot of stick from members right now”, adding: “We are as concerned as them. It’s a serious matter for us.”
But he said the union was “stuck between a rock and a hard place on this because the law says we must conduct it by post”.
The NAHT has also pointed to the discrepancy in turnout of 64 per cent in its electronic indicative ballot last year, and the 42 per cent achieved in the formal ballot.
But Kelsall also said the ballot showed a “hardening of the resolve” of members whose ballots papers were returned. Sixty-four per cent of those who voted backed strike action, up from 54 per cent in the indicative poll.
“With the thousands of members who asked for a duplicate ballot paper, they would only ever have one intention, and that is to cast their vote. And that’s what makes us confident that had that disruption not happened, that threshold would have been met.”
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