Teacher pay

IFS: Most teachers will still be worse off after pay rise

Starting salaries will rise, but more experienced teachers face 5% real-terms pay cut, warns think tank

Starting salaries will rise, but more experienced teachers face 5% real-terms pay cut, warns think tank

Government pay proposals will leave most teachers 5 per cent worse off in real terms, the Institute for Fiscal Studies has warned.

The Department for Education has proposed raising minimum pay by 16 per cent over two years to achieve a £30,000 starting salary by 2023.

However, most teachers and leaders would see their pay rise by 3 per cent next year and 2 per cent the year after.

IFS analysis found that the proposals would raise starting salaries by 5 per cent in real terms between 2021 and 2023, but the lower increases for most teachers would have the opposite effect of a 5 per cent real-terms cut.

By 2023 experienced teachers would be paid on average 14 per cent less in real terms than in 2010. The drop is equivalent to £7,000 in today’s money for those at the top of the pay scale.

Proposals outlined by the government amount to an average pay rise overall of almost 4 per cent in 2022-23 and just under 3 per cent in 2023-24.

4% pay rise would cost £1.4bn

The IFS said rises at this level for all staff would cost schools £1.4 billion next year and £1 billion the year after.

DfE analysis published last week estimated that funding increases planned would leave schools with £2.1 billion in 2022-23, but just £700 million the following year.

The IFS concluded that a larger pay rise of 5 per cent for teachers next year “seems affordable” in the context of the funding increases.

Luke Sibieta, from the IFS, said while there were “clearly significant pressures and demand on school budgets, schools need to be able to recruit and retain high-quality staff to meet those challenges”.

teachers pay
Sibieta

He added: “A higher award than that proposed by the government may carry fewer risks than a lower one.”

The IFS warned it was also “highly likely” non-teaching staff would need a larger average rise than teachers next year when the minimum wage rises by 6.6 per cent in April.

But 2023-24 will see a smaller increase in school funding, and the IFS said there “seems little room for a higher pay award in 2023-24 without additional funding”.

The think tank previously warned that funding increases announced at the spending review would only restore funding to 2010 levels by 2024.

Recent inflation forecasts are “much higher”, partly driven by energy price rises. The IFS predicted that a 50 per cent rise in the cost of energy would cost schools about £400 million.

A DfE spokesperson said the government wanted to “continue attracting the brightest and the best teachers as we level up education for children across the country”. They said teachers had a 3.1 per cent pay rise in 2020-21.

Latest education roles from

LECTURER: PAINTING AND DECORATING

LECTURER: PAINTING AND DECORATING

Milton Keynes College

LIBRARY ASSISTANT PART-TIME

LIBRARY ASSISTANT PART-TIME

Milton Keynes College

Specialist Trainer: Leadership, Management, Industrial Safety or Engineering

Specialist Trainer: Leadership, Management, Industrial Safety or Engineering

Bridgwater & Taunton College

Lecturer: Sports

Lecturer: Sports

Milton Keynes College

Art Technician

Art Technician

Tendring Technology College

Lecturer in English

Lecturer in English

South Gloucestershire and Stroud College

Sponsored posts

Sponsored post

Navigating NPQ Funding Cuts: Discover Leader Apprenticeships with NPQs

Recent cuts to NPQ funding, as reported by Schools Week, mean 14,000 schools previously eligible for scholarships now face...

SWAdvertorial
Sponsored post

How do you tackle the MIS dilemma?

With good planning, attention to detail, and clear communication, switching MIS can be a smooth and straightforward process, but...

SWAdvertorial
Sponsored post

How can we prepare learners for their future in an ever-changing world?

By focusing their curriculums on transferable skills, digital skills, and sustainability, schools and colleges can be confident that learners...

SWAdvertorial
Sponsored post

Inspiring Education Leaders for 10 Years

The 10th Inspiring Leadership Conference is to be held on 13 and 14 June 2024 at the ICC in...

SWAdvertorial

More from this theme

Teacher pay

What is happening with teacher pay?

Chancellor says announcements will come 'later this month' and government will 'make sure that the sums add up'

Freddie Whittaker
Teacher pay

United Learning’s alternative pension plan: The lawyers’ views

Pension proposals by the country's biggest trust have led to questions over its legality, whether the TPS might collapse...

John Dickens
Teacher pay

1 in 4 young teachers would swap generous pension for more pay

More than a quarter of teachers in their 20s would sacrifice a better pension to boost their take-home pay...

Lucas Cumiskey
Teacher pay

United Learning to offer alternative pension and boost starter salaries to £45k

But unions slam 'alarming' and 'dangerous' move - saying they could strike

Lucas Cumiskey

Your thoughts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

One comment

  1. David Wootliff

    I’m a new teacher, please could someone explain or detail the timing of a proposed pay rise and it’s required elements for parliamentary sign-off prior to September and the start of a new academic year. I’ve seen the proposal and understand the issues but can see no timeline for this activity, thank you